On the long-run success rate of coverage intervals. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/0026-1394/45/4/N02

Abstract

When constructing a coverage interval from the probability density function that describes thestate of knowledge about a measurand, it seems reasonable to expect that the long-run successrate of that interval will be about equal to the stipulated coverage probability. Through aspecific example, the validity of this criterion is examined.