Probabilistic Explanations for Linear Models

Abstract

Formal XAI is an emerging field that focuses on providing explanations with mathematical guarantees for the decisions made by machine learning models. A significant amount of work in this area is centered on the computation of “sufficient reasons”. Given a model M and an input instance x, a sufficient reason for the decision x is a subset S of the features of x such that for any instance z that has the same values as x for every feature in S, it holds that M(x) = M(z). Intuitively, this means that the features in S are sufficient to fully justify the classification of x by M. For sufficient reasons to be useful in practice, they should be as small as possible, and a natural way to reduce the size of sufficient reasons is to consider a probabilistic relaxation; the probability of M(x) = M(z) must be at least some value delta in (0,1], where z is a random instance that coincides with x on the features in S. Computing small delta-sufficient reasons (delta-SRs) is known to be a theoretically hard problem; even over decision trees — traditionally deemed simple and interpretable models — strong inapproximability results make the efficient computation of small delta-SRs unlikely. We propose the notion of (delta, epsilon)-SR, a simple relaxation of delta-SRs, and show that this kind of explanations can be computed efficiently over linear models.